Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.024214 0.026038 0.027941 0.030076 0.032408 0.034881 0.037704
2025-01-12 0.020804 0.023340 0.026121 0.029407 0.033196 0.037443 0.042582
2025-01-19 0.019023 0.022038 0.025474 0.029699 0.034783 0.040739 0.048295
2025-01-26 0.017532 0.020837 0.024719 0.029652 0.035799 0.043268 0.053128
2025-02-02 0.016547 0.020104 0.024395 0.030004 0.037212 0.046264 0.058649
2025-02-09 0.015444 0.019116 0.023648 0.029715 0.037724 0.048072 0.062684
2025-02-16 0.014569 0.018338 0.023085 0.029581 0.038369 0.050029 0.066983
2025-02-23 0.013766 0.017590 0.022495 0.029345 0.038819 0.051699 0.070947
2025-03-02 0.013139 0.017027 0.022101 0.029322 0.039525 0.053723 0.075510
2025-03-09 0.012437 0.016320 0.021466 0.028915 0.039643 0.054889 0.078858
2025-03-16 0.011753 0.015599 0.020767 0.028365 0.039503 0.055645 0.081600
2025-03-23 0.011225 0.015065 0.020294 0.028100 0.039743 0.056947 0.085239
2025-03-30 0.010722 0.014545 0.019822 0.027816 0.039946 0.058217 0.088945
2025-04-06 0.010156 0.013910 0.019154 0.027206 0.039614 0.058633 0.091283
2025-04-13 0.009894 0.013697 0.019080 0.027472 0.040631 0.061203 0.097358
2025-04-20 0.009562 0.013366 0.018817 0.027429 0.041151 0.062999 0.102236
2025-04-27 0.009353 0.013205 0.018793 0.027750 0.042259 0.065803 0.109068
2025-05-04 0.009003 0.012819 0.018412 0.027487 0.042398 0.066994 0.113098
2025-05-11 0.008711 0.012508 0.018131 0.027365 0.042754 0.068563 0.117918
2025-05-18 0.008414 0.012176 0.017803 0.027149 0.042936 0.069829 0.122255
2025-05-25 0.008181 0.011934 0.017603 0.027129 0.043442 0.071684 0.127844
2025-06-01 0.007879 0.011573 0.017203 0.026757 0.043319 0.072402 0.131260
2025-06-08 0.007564 0.011181 0.016738 0.026256 0.042940 0.072626 0.133699